Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.000806 0.000918 0.001037 0.001171 0.001319 0.001476 0.001655
2025-03-16 0.000617 0.000770 0.000944 0.001153 0.001396 0.001669 0.001998
2025-03-23 0.000520 0.000691 0.000892 0.001146 0.001452 0.001808 0.002249
2025-03-30 0.000449 0.000631 0.000855 0.001147 0.001511 0.001946 0.002499
2025-04-06 0.000389 0.000576 0.000815 0.001136 0.001548 0.002053 0.002708
2025-04-13 0.000336 0.000524 0.000772 0.001115 0.001568 0.002135 0.002887
2025-04-20 0.000308 0.000502 0.000765 0.001140 0.001645 0.002288 0.003154
2025-04-27 0.000282 0.000478 0.000754 0.001156 0.001708 0.002424 0.003402
2025-05-04 0.000250 0.000444 0.000725 0.001143 0.001731 0.002505 0.003580
2025-05-11 0.000220 0.000409 0.000691 0.001121 0.001739 0.002566 0.003731
2025-05-18 0.000203 0.000393 0.000683 0.001136 0.001796 0.002693 0.003971
2025-05-25 0.000186 0.000374 0.000669 0.001140 0.001838 0.002800 0.004184
2025-06-01 0.000161 0.000340 0.000631 0.001106 0.001825 0.002830 0.004297
2025-06-08 0.000139 0.000310 0.000596 0.001074 0.001811 0.002859 0.004408
2025-06-15 0.000126 0.000293 0.000581 0.001072 0.001842 0.002950 0.004605
2025-06-22 0.000114 0.000278 0.000567 0.001071 0.001874 0.003044 0.004807
2025-06-29 0.000102 0.000260 0.000549 0.001061 0.001890 0.003114 0.004977
2025-07-06 0.000090 0.000241 0.000525 0.001042 0.001891 0.003159 0.005112
2025-07-13 0.000086 0.000237 0.000528 0.001065 0.001959 0.003307 0.005397
2025-07-20 0.000080 0.000230 0.000526 0.001080 0.002015 0.003436 0.005656
2025-07-27 0.000072 0.000216 0.000508 0.001068 0.002025 0.003497 0.005816
2025-08-03 0.000063 0.000200 0.000487 0.001048 0.002021 0.003534 0.005941
2025-08-10 0.000059 0.000195 0.000485 0.001062 0.002073 0.003660 0.006200